Hayato Matsuoka vs Qian Sun Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When examining second serve performance over the past six months, Hayato Matsuoka has a slight edge with a 43.26% win rate compared to Qian Sun's 39.42%. Could this difference influence the match outcome?
• In return games, Qian Sun leads on opponent's second serve returns, capturing 47.27% of points compared to Hayato's 44.65%. Will this advantage be a crucial factor in their favor?
• On first serve returns, Hayato comes ahead with a 31.00% win rate, surpassing Qian's 26.43%. This could significantly impact the match's progress.
• Qian Sun shows stronger resilience under pressure, saving 55.12% of breakpoints versus Hayato's 51.05%. How might this affect crucial moments in the match?
• Both players have similar overall win percentages over the last year, with Qian at 55.17% and Hayato at 55.56%. Does this parity indicate a closely contested match?
• The preferred playing surface for both players is Hard, each with a 54% win record, showing no clear advantage for either.
• At the Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K level, Hayato has a higher win percentage of 61.54% compared to Qian's 57.14%, suggesting Hayato's slight upper hand in this tier.
• Qian Sun has consistently faced stronger opponents over the past year, with an average opponent ranking of 315.33 compared to Hayato's 419.4, reflecting Qian's experience against tougher competitors.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Hayato has proven marginally better, winning 43% of such encounters against Qian's 40% over the last 12 months.

Editorial Prediction (October 30, 2025, UTC):

With both players having shown similar success rates on their favored surfaces, their performance on Hard courts will be closely matched. However, Hayato Matsuoka's slight edge in second serve points won suggests a minor advantage.

Qian Sun's experience handling higher-ranked opponents may be instrumental, particularly when the pressure peaks, indicated by a superior breakpoint saving rate.

The match has all the elements of being fiercely contested, with equally competitive past records. Ultimately, Matsuoka's slightly better form in decisive set situations could tip the balance.

Based on the current data and recent trends, Hayato Matsuoka appears to be the likelier candidate to claim victory in the imminent encounter.